So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! The Transformation of China. The Agenda. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. Your email address will not be published. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. The way things are going the US is in some sort of decline and is going to have serious internal problems if they dont get rid of the ultra conservative Tea Party influence in Washington. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. China to INVADE Australia? Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. April 29, 2022 - 5:54AM Australia will probably be at war with China by the end of the decade, a leading foreign policy expert has said. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. According to Prof Blaxland, the old truths that have kept Australia safe from invasion - except for the colonial project beginning in 1788 - are still in play. Jacqui Lambie!! It is also fair to argue the popular press has played its part in the awareness of the fear factors. Articles that have appeared in the press recently include China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific,[2] New vertical Chinese map gives greater emphasis to South China Sea claims,[3] Return of the samurai: Japan steps away from pacifist constitution as military eyes threat from China,[4] Long March Out of China;[5] and one of the most recent which offers an historical, rather than a straight contemporary assessment, is Paul Monks Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI [World War One],[6] which highlights the course of war being the outcome of particular political processes. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. WILD: An Australian politician has made a bizarre claim about a small airstrip in the desert, IMPORTANT: The video pointed out the airstrip's proximity to the port of Cape Preston. Time and again it has been demonstrated that invasion does not work. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Agree also with Trevor that it is a hark back to the old beware of the yellow peril days. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. War is a fools game and China knows it. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. If there is a war with China, it will most likely be over its efforts to reunite Taiwan with the mainland. [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. In March, Adm. Philip Davidson, the head of US Indo-Pacific Command at. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. Updated at 01.00 EST Australia cut. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. Geography still plays a very important part in war. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Taiwanese . China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. This was followed by a further dictum from his colleague Senator Jacqui Lambie speaking about the potential of a Chinese invasion and whats more, she has refused to withdraw her comment. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. Sun 27 Feb 2022 00.26 EST First published on Sat 26 Feb 2022 19.57 EST The prime minister, Scott Morrison, has announced that Australia will provide funds for "lethal aid" to Ukraine's war. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. By Alan Dupont. Everyone is doing it hard at present. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. [9] Ezra Vogel. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. The PLAN is still in the process of mastering out-of-area major battle group deployments. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! And correspondingly, where to place the US? However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. [6] Paul Monk. [7] See Francis Fukuyama. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. (including Australia). Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. What the hell have we done? The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. This time has taken two decades and it is now in that place, or in simpler terms, China is now a major actor on the world stage and moreover, one that is prepared to back its position/s up with military force if need be. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. 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