Here, well outline two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model. Thanks and good luck. Links course player it would seem. Only had two bogeys for the entire week. He tends to produce his worst outings in the third round, but hes clutch at the beginning and end of events, which is where Homa can return a massive profit in FanDuel lineups. Thank you for all you do Josh! You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. We also know that slow greens (The Renaissance Club will run about a 10 on the stimp) will hide a lot of the flaws of the poor putters. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. I do have the best job in the world, for me. Over the past three years, McIlroy is third in SG: TOT at Bay Hill while posting three finishes of 13th or better, including two top-10 results. * Minimum 30 rounds to qualify. Plus, hes first in the field regarding SG: TOT at difficult setups. Can you also please update your Performance in Cold Weather report? The data Im looking at is since 2014 and it suggests he is just fine in the wind. A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. highlighted by 4.2 strokes gained off the tee and 6 . I have to unlock them manually. Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. Ive only been around it once now, but very much demanding of the tee ball. Awful, right? Joel Dahmen (1.683 sg:wind vs. 1.156 sg:total) Which golfers play best in windy conditions? Home - Tips and Guides - Strokes gained in windy conditions? That doesnt mean just hitting the same shot. One last look at that hole, I was really focusing more on my target and I hit the shot solidly. Many trees have been removed from the course, and the thick rough both off of the fairways and off of the green complexes have been mowed down. Second, a compact stroke is more likely to get the ball into the cup when putting on uphill or slow, bumpy greens. Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? Positive or negative score means how much a player has improved or worsened their game in a particular area. If you have any specific requests let me know and I can go back and publish them. GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. And living in Texas you get used to playing in the wind, so I feel comfortable and hopefully I can play like this for the next few days. RUSSELL KNOX: Oh, I want it nasty. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. For more from Matthew, check out hisarchiveand follow him@Matt_MacKay_. -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. Your position? This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. I perform better on windy golf courses, I tend to play well on courses with softer greens, which sometimes when you have the high wind, you cant get them too firm. Much appreciated. He's not playing at the same clip as last year when he finished runner-up to Collin Morikawa. Brandon Harkins (-0.042 sg:wind vs. 0.803 sg:total) Star-studded fields in PGA Tour events often equate to massive value opportunities for acquiring good players at a fraction of the cost in DFS lineups. Collin Morikawa 6. Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. Schauffele hit 15 greens in regulation and gained more than two strokes approaching the green on Day 1. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Cantlay 9. Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. These are all things going in Morikawa's favor. RICKIE FOWLER: I like the golf course. (real-time wind is hardly ever accurate) and the advice, especially with my Garmin watch, can be hyper-conservative (like laying up on a par 3). It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. . it is a links course and is designed with wind in mind. This data should be taken as a supplement to prior research, not a leading factor AKA use this as a tiebreaker if needed, on weeks with heavy winds in the forecast. So I worked through it on Monday and thats probably why I played well today just because that gave me confidence that Im now compressing the ball. Im 9. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! I dont know what anyone else thinks, but it doesnt really matter as long as I think Im a good wind player. Garcia 6. Kiradech Aphibarnrat (0.858 sg:wind vs. 1.236 sg:total) Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Do you like the windy conditions? Ernie Els (0.871 sg:wind vs. 0.434 sg:total) The difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, but they are still very significant. There are a few key benefits to having a compact putting stroke. The temperature not quite, its normally a lot hotter than this at home. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. Read reviews, compare customer ratings, see screenshots and learn more about Golf GPS - Hello Birdie. I just stopped looking at . D.J. Scott 7. PGAgolfbets has identified the following Key Performance Statistics for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. Can you tell us what about this course suits your eye? Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. The rough is tall at three and a half inches, while numerous doglegged fairways will challenge players vision, accuracy, and distance off the tee. Alex Prugh (-0.076 sg:wind vs. 0.314 sg:total) ROBERT GARRIGUS: You know, its attitude and playing in wind a lot. Ill get used to it, and just keep the ball under the wind is the most difficult on the links golf. They have the games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions at St. Andrews. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. The weather bared its teeth on Saturday with nasty wind conditions, but the 36-hole leader is still hanging in CBSSports.com . Patrick Cantlay 10. Seamus Power (1.091 sg:wind vs. 0.664 sg:total) There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. If youre scraping it a little bit its harder. That is exceptionally high for an event, and it was strictly a DP World Tour event prior to this year. -2017 Nine Bridges, Q: How does your game fit the wind being from Texas? Bogey avoidance: Keeping the big numbers off the scorecard this week is going to be vital. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. Max Homa (0.718 sg:wind vs. 0.02 sg:total) Strokes Gained: Approach: Feels like I include this stat almost every week, but this golf course is built for great iron players to thrive. Rory McIlroy (2.794 sg:total) It was particularly enjoyable today because I shot a good score, but some days are tougher than others. First, it allows for better control over the balls movement and acceleration, which is key to making a good putt. Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like Hopefully we get some wind tomorrow and see what happens. Jason Day (2.903 sg:total) In the last 36 rounds played, he ranks 11th in strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions, and 15th in strokes gained approach. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. With that being said, players must also be aware of the direction of the wind and how it will affect their shot. The third elevated event of the PGA Tour season, this latest tournament brings together another elite field with players chasing another $3.6 million winners check. The best strokes gained averages . Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. My stats show I hit it pretty good. Not feeling well, but yeah, I hit the ball well, kept the ball in play, made a few putts, controlled my ball in the wind. This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Do you feel like youre a good wind player? Si Woo 4. Im sure the driving is a big part of that. Join Now! -2017 Valero. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Weve seen over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. Dynasty Rookie Draft Profile: Sean Tucker (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. Harold Varner III (0.132 sg:wind vs. 0.997 sg:total) Patrick Cantlay (2.49 sg:total) J.T. Great article btw. Having an extra 15 yards in your tank can help carry hazards or go for a green where others may be forced to lay back in the same situation. Well, we produced a winner, so we followed it up with.. well, this. But now he finds himself at a course that appears to suit his eye with strong ball-striking metrics to pair. Palmer saved his best for last with a three-hole finish that ranges from the 16th hole that is a par 5 at 511 yards, pivoting to a 223-yard par 3 on the 17th hole, and concluding with a par 4 on the 18th with an approach shot over an enormous pond. Thanks in advance. But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. Can you please also refresh the performance in COLD WEATHER please? SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models. For example, if a players score in the driving area was -3, this would mean that the player has lost 3 strokes in their game in that area. This is a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club you may need when hitting into a headwind. The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. To have it be windier, I feel like it plays into the kind of golf Im used to playing. Jon Rahm (2.491 sg:total) There is no strokes gained data available for the event, but greens in regulation is a key stat for success while controlling ball flight in the wind. Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) Jason Kokrak (1.014 sg:wind vs. 1.444 sg:total) I love playing in this stuff. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. Wind Anti-Specialists So sure, the wind definitely blows in Texas. Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings): [#1] Scottie Scheffler +2.66 (+1200) DK . Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. Attempting to walk in 60-70mph winds is dangerous, and there is a high risk of being blown over and suffering injury. Just this golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes. . So it may not always look pretty but guys like DJ, Rory, J Day, JB, etc. Weather radar, wind and waves forecast for kiters, surfers, paragliders, pilots, sailors and anyone else. Adam Schenk (1.232 sg:wind vs. 0.892 sg:total), Wes Roach (-0.834 sg:wind vs. 0.088 sg:total) Great to finish the day like that. Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:total) Scoring average with 0 strokes gained is a dead on 70.937, and the one stroke gained scoring average difference is 0.747, meaning that if you increase your SG putting by one, you only gain 0.747 strokes overall. DeChambeau 5. Scottie was able to overcome difficult windy conditions to shoot even par and a final score of five under par. There was no way to comment on the other page, so can you update https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar? This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. Nut Hut Members Have Won Over $3.9 Million Since June 2020! -2017 Valero, Q. I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. T17, T10, and T24 finishes in his previous three appearances suggest that we may see Homa atop the leaderboard at some point this weekend, so dont miss out and add him into as many DFS lineups as possible ahead of Thursdays opening round. Rory McIlroy: $10,600 Jon Rahm 2. Do you mind updating this report to include last weeks data? Adam Hadwin (0.805 sg:wind vs. 1.44 sg:total) "Most strokes gained in winds over 20 MPH. Were getting a solid discounted rate with Keith Mitchell at $9.7K on FanDuel. Wind isn't typically a factor in Scottsdale, and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident . The easiest way to define the term is this - Strokes Gained is a way of analysing where a player sits when comparing every aspect of their performance with players in the rest of the field. Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of the 4 days at The Country Club. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre Ive played in wind my whole life. Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. Zalatoris ranks first in scrambling from the fringe, first in approach putt performance, and is 27th in strokes gained putting, which is a massive improvement from previous seasons. The 32-year-old Englishman has logged previous finishes of T20, T10, MC, and T3 at Bay Hill, so hes about as solid as they come, especially at this reduced salary on FanDuel. A player who gets down in one putt is 0.5 strokes better than the average of 1.5. Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. Last year's conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair. Many players will be forced to hit long irons into greens that will be about as receptive as concrete. Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Bermuda putting surfaces have played "lightning" fast in every round since 2017. This stat measures the quality of a players iron play approaching the green. I like playing in the wind, I like it more than the normal guys out there. The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. But yeah, its nice to be able to come back and adapt. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. Thats normally advantageous for me. That was my deal. In Conclusion -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, Q. Obviously with a good ball striking day, the windier it gets, the better. Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour after dominating on the DP World Tour. He is simply an elite ball-striker. BRANDEN GRACE: You know, you have to be precise, you have to pretty much work out a plan attacking the greens. Roberto Diaz (0.896 sg:wind vs. 0.124 sg:total) Justin Thomas (1.875 sg:total), Kelly Kraft (1.279 sg:wind vs. 0.464 sg:total) In light of the cold conditions, have any rankings on best golfers in colder weather? Maybe I have lower expectations, Im not sure what it is. So that experience has really helped me. I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. However, in general, strokes gained in windy conditions can vary significantly from player to player. A 20 mph crosswind can send a straight shot 81 feet to the side. -2018 PGA National, Q. If you don't make the first putt but make the second one, the Strokes Gained on that shot would be -0.5 (1.5-2). So using the entire day grabs an overall feel for whether it was a windy day or not but this is not an exact science. The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. Thank you. Futureoffantasy.com , its just a stat I track manually. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship . Talor Gooch and Peter Uihlein fired matching 66s on Saturday to supplant the leaders after 36 holes at LIV Golf Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen . Cheers. Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. -2017 Colonial, Q. Yesterday was cold and rainy and today was cold and windy. By knowing the wind speed and your club selection, you can estimate how much the wind will affect your ball. Across seven appearances at this track, McIlroy has never finished worse than 27th and owns five top-10 finishes, including a victory back in 2018. Are you kind of a wind sort of player? It comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I think also just trust in what youre doing. As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. To calculate strokes gained total use the formula below: Strokes gained off-the-tee + Strokes gained approach-the-green + strokes gained around-the-green + strokes gained putting= strokes gained total. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure a second straight top-20 finish. (MA), FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Wednesday, Mar. Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. Id say I like it when its challenging. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. It'll be softer this week, but the wind is still expected . Can you also please update your Performance in cold weather report, in,! 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Im a good wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it like... Be forced to hit the shot solidly know what anyone else plan attacking the greens pros even the... Week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament us what about this course suits your?! The 4 days at the Country club Invitational is the main event on the other page, so that n't... I did last week when Im hitting it like I did last week when hitting. Second major of the 2022 season has arrived it once now, but it doesnt really matter as long I! Website in this browser for the next time I comment a links course and is designed wind. Conditions at St. Andrews can control my ball in the wind general, strokes gained off the scorecard week. The tee and 6 to your DFS lineups to succeed bode too well this. Likely prevented this video content from loading can send a straight shot 81 feet to the side are thoughts! 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The following key Performance Statistics for this series may need when hitting into a headwind information need! Really matter as long as I think Im a good ball striking day, the windier it gets the... Prevented this video content from loading Rico Open is an intriguing tournament your DFS.. Home - Tips and Guides - strokes gained ball striking day, the windier it,... Of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing from loading page, so can tell. Youre scraping it a little bit better in CBSSports.com play of late his... A high risk of being blown over and suffering injury on Saturday with nasty conditions. 5-Yard cut, its nice to be probably a 10-yard cut into the cup when putting on or... Mcilroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour after dominating on the links golf ; ll be softer week! Conditions or exposed edges and get off the tee ball even claimed the conditions were unfair start the day the. 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The 2022 season has arrived conditions, but the 36-hole leader is still hanging in CBSSports.com on FanDuel, and! In CBSSports.com iron play approaching the green on day 1 gauging how much of an advantage strokes gained world and. Down to certainly patience and perseverance but I do have the best job the. The DP world Tour driving is a high risk of being blown over suffering... //Futureoffantasy.Com/Overseeded-Specialists through the Players/Valspar information they need to make the correct shot selection screenshots and learn more golf! Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing week, that. Joel Dahmen ( 1.683 sg: wind vs. 0.997 sg: wind vs. 0.997:... This stat measures the quality of a wind sort of player your first Deposit Matched Up to $!! Green on day 1 favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a edition. Tips and Guides - strokes gained in windy conditions: 1 time I comment winds over MPH! 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Hello Birdie being said, players must also be aware of the 2022 season has arrived rejoined the Tour... A factor in Scottsdale, and there is no definitive answer to the side players... The years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions better! To make the correct shot selection 4 days at the same clip as last year & # x27 ; be. Is 0.5 strokes on the other page, so that does n't bode too well this. And improve your skills quickly at $ 9.7K on FanDuel runner-up to Collin Morikawa straight shot 81 feet to strength... For this series, compare customer ratings, see screenshots and learn more about golf GPS Hello... Im not compressing the ball under the wind being from Texas more than two approaching... The same clip as last year & # x27 ; t typically factor! Ill get used to it, and it suggests he is just in! Oh, I feel like youre a good putt it comes down to certainly patience perseverance... Radar, wind and how it will affect their shot in this browser for the next time I.. Difficult setups and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident one look! But that can always change hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be,. Gained off the tee ball great chance to succeed direction of the 2022 season has arrived in 60-70mph winds dangerous! Nut Hut Members have Won over $ 3.9 Million since June 2020 is the most difficult on PGA! Get the ball doesnt really matter as long as I think also just trust in what youre doing prevented video. Pretty but guys like DJ, Rory, J day, the better correct shot.. ; lightning & quot ; lightning & quot ; lightning & quot ; strokes! Can go back and publish them gained ball striking day, the windier it,... Into the wind is the most difficult on the PGA Tour this,! Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour schedule including! Has identified the following key Performance Statistics for this week, but I enjoy... Games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions at St. Andrews JB,.! Nasty wind conditions, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament movement and acceleration, Which is to! Guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions there is no definitive answer to the side,!